something im building is the worlds largest human behavioral dataset that can be used to anticipate how people react and do in the next 3 days of their life, but I have been facing this bottleneck lately Being able to…

3 points•Sol_Trevino•about 12 hours ago•3 comments•
something im building is the worlds largest human behavioral dataset that can be used to anticipate how people react and do in the next 3 days of their life, but I have been facing this bottleneck lately

Being able to predict human behavior is the next gold rush. Prediction markets, marketing, sales, defense, ect.

But if you cant predict what your next 3 thoughts will be, how can you predict how an entire region of people's reaction to a policy change or an ad?

This is something that more data will answer, but im curious what you guys think

3 comments

FrankWilhoitabout 11 hours ago
Let randomness not be confused with nuance.
verdvermabout 12 hours ago
> something im building is the worlds largest human behavioral dataset

> Being able to predict human behavior is the next gold rush

We're trying to legislate against the abusive behavior. Something like an the American Data & AI Act (ADA Act, hat tip to the first ever programmer)

krappabout 12 hours ago
>But if you cant predict what your next 3 thoughts will be, how can you predict how an entire region of people's reaction to a policy change or an ad?

It isn't a matter of predicting a specific person's behavior, but influencing human behavior in aggregate. It doesn't matter if you can predict what one person will do when you can increase the likelihood that a thousand, ten thousand or a million people within that person's sphere of influence will likely do something - even by just a little - and the self-reinforcing social and cognitive pressures will take care of the rest. And that's been a science that goes all the way back to the Nazis and Leni Riefenstahl, and continues with government intelligence services, advertising, mass media and social media.

Read the full thread on Hacker News →

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